Given our read on the turn and the fact that jamming here only needs to work about 71% of the time to be profitable, I honestly think jamming any two cards as an exploit against this specific opponent is going to be printing money. My exact hand is also one of my best bluffing candidates, as I hold blockers to villain’s most likely 5x and 3x hands, which are what he’s representing when he goes for the 2.5x pot bet here (I think over pairs would likely elect to choose a smaller sizing).Read More
Poker vlogger Andrew Neeme joins Just Hands to discuss a 3-way 4bet pot from a 5/10 game at the Bellagio.Read More
Also, check out the first installment of our in depth analyses about this hand! Zach used software to create a more mathematically oriented range analysis and come to a more concrete answer to the spots in the hand.
So should we check or bet? After thinking about this spot a lot, it all really hinges on two assumptions that are difficult to know:
1) What percentage of the time he's turning his very low equity hands like 910s into stabs on a board like this that favors his range.
2) How often he is value betting A2-A10.Read More